Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.09%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.