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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Elche

Alaves
1 - 0
Elche

N'Diaye (47')
Navarro (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roco (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawElche
43.87%27.33%28.8%
Both teams to score 47.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05%25.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05%60.95%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.87%
    Elche 28.8%
    Draw 27.32%
AlavesDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 43.87%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.8%

How you voted: Alaves vs Elche

Alaves
56.4%
Draw
30.7%
Elche
12.9%
140