Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Espanyol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
| 56.41% | 25.29% | 18.3% |
| Both teams to score 42.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.52% | 58.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% | 79.07% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% | 20.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% | 53.42% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.75% | 46.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.09% | 81.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.79% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.4% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.48% Total : 18.3% |