Alaves vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.