Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Alaves |
| 46% | 28.28% | 25.72% |
| Both teams to score 43.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.95% | 62.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.23% | 81.77% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% | 27.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% | 62.42% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% | 40.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% | 77.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 8.46% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.99% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.72% |