La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 4, 2021 at 1pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
28.73%	28.62%	42.64%

Both teams to score 44.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.2%

61.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.41%

81.59%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08%

37.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31%

74.69%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46%

64.54%

Score Analysis

Alaves 28.73%

Celta Vigo 42.64%

Draw 28.62%

Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.73%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 13.58% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.64%

How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

Alaves

22.0%

Draw

16.0%

Celta Vigo

62.0%