La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 27, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
0 - 1
Osasuna

Pina (44'), Laguardia (68'), Perez (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barja (77')
Garcia (30'), Vidal (40'), Garcia (65'), Cruz (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
20.15%	28.93%	50.92%

Both teams to score 36.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.44%

67.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.36%

85.64%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.47%

49.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.67%

84.32%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78%

27.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36%

62.64%

Score Analysis

Alaves 20.15%

Osasuna 50.92%

Draw 28.92%

Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2% Total : 20.15%	0-0 @ 13.48% 1-1 @ 12.32% 2-2 @ 2.82% Other @ 0.3% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 17.54% 0-2 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-3 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.56% Total : 50.92%