La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 13, 2021 at 8pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
5 - 1
Alaves

Trincao (29', 74'), Messi (45+1', 75'), Firpo (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rioja (57')
Aguirregabiria (17'), Tachi (53')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
75.58%	15.25%	9.16%

Both teams to score 49.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.78%

36.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.66%

58.34%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.98%

8.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.73%

28.27%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.42%

46.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.83%

82.17%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 75.57%

Alaves 9.16%

Draw 15.26%

Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 11.89% 3-0 @ 10% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 6.31% 4-1 @ 4.82% 5-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-0 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 1.02% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.72% Total : 75.57%	1-1 @ 7.21% 0-0 @ 3.74% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.26%	0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.75% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.16%