La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 9, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 2
Sevilla

Asensio (67'), Hazard (90+4')
Casemiro (21')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fernando (22'), Rakitic (78' pen.)
Suso (56'), Gudelj (85')

Reaction

Real Madrid coach Zinedine Zidane pictured on February 14, 2021

Zinedine Zidane questions penalty decision in Sevilla draw

Sevilla's penalty came after the referee had initially awarded a spot-kick to Real for a foul on Karim Benzema.

May 10, 07:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
42.6%	27.47%	29.93%

Both teams to score 48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.63%

57.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81%

78.18%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37%

26.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13%

61.87%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42%

34.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7%

71.3%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 42.59%

Sevilla 29.93%

Draw 27.46%

Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.59%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.93%