Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Granada had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 36.46% | 28.5% | 35.05% |
| Both teams to score 46.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% | 60.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% | 80.29% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% | 31.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% | 67.88% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% | 68.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.05% |