La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
0 - 2
Osasuna

Laguardia (13'), Moya (28'), Duarte (29'), Navarro (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Garcia (22'), Torres (29' pen.)
Torres (31'), Torro (73'), Sanchez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
29.74%	27.84%	42.42%

Both teams to score 46.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.23%

58.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.71%

79.29%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52%

35.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.76%

72.24%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62%

27.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15%

62.85%

Score Analysis

Alaves 29.73%

Osasuna 42.42%

Draw 27.83%

Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.73%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 12.58% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.87% Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Alaves vs Osasuna

Alaves

19.4%

Draw

32.8%

Osasuna

47.8%