Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
| 46.98% | 28.51% | 24.5% |
| Both teams to score 41.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% | 82.8% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% | 27.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% | 62.63% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.45% | 42.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.09% | 78.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 15.07% 2-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.38% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.72% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.09% Total : 24.5% |