Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Eibar |
| 41.09% | 27.3% | 31.61% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.77% | 56.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.73% | 77.27% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% | 26.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% | 62.24% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% | 32.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% | 69.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.61% |