Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
12.39% | 17.26% | 70.35% |
Both teams to score 53.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.76% | 36.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.64% | 58.36% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.3% | 40.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% | 77.28% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.8% | 9.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.85% | 31.15% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 3.61% 1-0 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.53% Total : 12.39% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.31% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-4 @ 5.06% 1-4 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-5 @ 2.42% 1-5 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 2.04% 2-5 @ 0.98% 0-6 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |