Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.