La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona

Benzema (13'), Kroos (28')
Nacho (69'), Casemiro (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mingueza (60')
Pedri (23'), Araujo (26'), Alba (84'), Koeman (85')

Reaction

Barcelona manager Ronald Koeman pictured in February 2021

Ronald Koeman lashes out at referee after El Clasico defeat

Ronald Koeman - who walked out of one television interview after the match - was furious that substitute Martin Braithwaite was not awarded a late penalty.

Apr 10, 22:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
33.47%	25.64%	40.89%

Both teams to score 54.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98%

49.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9%

71.1%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09%

27.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48%

63.52%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11%

57.89%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 33.47%

Barcelona 40.89%

Draw 25.64%

Real Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.47%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.89%