Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
| 39.37% | 25.81% | 34.81% |
| Both teams to score 54.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% | 71.53% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% | 24.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% | 59.3% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% | 27.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% | 62.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.37% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.81% |