Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Elche |
| 65.55% | 21.68% | 12.77% |
| Both teams to score 40.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% | 75.75% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% | 15.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% | 45.16% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.43% | 51.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.28% | 85.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 15.08% 2-0 @ 13.86% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.58% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.44% 1-2 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.22% Total : 12.77% |