Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 65.24% | 21.81% | 12.95% |
| Both teams to score 40.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% | 54.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% | 75.85% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% | 16.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.58% | 45.43% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.68% | 51.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.44% | 85.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 15.07% 2-0 @ 13.78% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 5.61% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.87% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 65.23% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.5% 1-2 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.27% Total : 12.95% |