Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
49.59% | 28.21% | 22.2% |
Both teams to score 40.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% | 64.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.78% | 83.22% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% | 26.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% | 61.3% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.81% | 45.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.92% | 81.08% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.85% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.77% 4-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.83% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |