La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Alaves

Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Alaves
49.59%	28.21%	22.2%

Both teams to score 40.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.94%

64.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78%

83.22%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8%

26.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7%

61.3%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.81%

45.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.92%

81.08%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 49.58%

Alaves 22.2%

Draw 28.2%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 15.85% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.77% 4-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.83% Total : 49.58%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

80.8%

Draw

14.4%

Alaves

4.8%