Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.77%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
| 27.09% | 29.14% | 43.77% |
| Both teams to score 42.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.93% | 64.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.76% | 83.23% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% | 40.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% | 77.17% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% | 65.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.31% Total : 27.08% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 14.58% 0-2 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-3 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.13% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.46% Total : 43.77% |