Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.79% | 28.59% | 32.62% |
Both teams to score 45.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.35% | 60.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.27% | 80.73% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% | 30.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% | 66.54% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% | 34.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |