Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 38.79% | 28.59% | 32.62% |
| Both teams to score 45.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.27% | 80.73% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% | 66.54% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% | 34.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% | 71.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.61% |