La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Duro (66')
Paulista (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.37%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
14.8%	21.6%	63.59%

Both teams to score 45.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81%

50.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85%

72.15%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.37%

81.63%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85%

15.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.26%

43.74%

Score Analysis

Valencia 14.8%

Real Madrid 63.58%

Draw 21.6%

Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.42% 2-1 @ 3.98% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-1 @ 1.03% 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.8%	1-1 @ 10.22% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.6%	0-1 @ 13.11% 0-2 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-4 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-5 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.12% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.12% Total : 63.58%