La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2021 at 9pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
40.06%	29.87%	30.06%

Both teams to score 41.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.68%

65.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.89%

84.11%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.41%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.17%

38.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44%

75.56%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 40.06%

Rayo Vallecano 30.05%

Draw 29.87%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.64% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.4% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.87%	0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.55% Total : 30.05%