Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
40.06% | 29.87% | 30.06% |
Both teams to score 41.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.68% | 65.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.89% | 84.11% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.17% | 38.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.44% | 75.56% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.64% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 12.4% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.87% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.55% Total : 30.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 72 |
2 | Barcelona | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 64 |
3 | GironaGirona | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 56 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 42 |
8 | Valencia | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Villarreal | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 38 |
11 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 32 |
14 | Mallorca | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
16 | Sevilla | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 22 |
19 | Granada | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 14 |
20 | Almeria | 29 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |