Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 31.42% | 29.23% | 39.34% |
| Both teams to score 43.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% | 82.47% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% | 36.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% | 73.28% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.9% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 13.26% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.34% |