Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Elche had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Espanyol |
| 26.19% | 28.99% | 44.82% |
| Both teams to score 41.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.81% | 83.19% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% | 41.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% | 77.84% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% | 28.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% | 64.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.22% Total : 26.18% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 11.82% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 14.79% 0-2 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-3 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.82% |