La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Sevilla

Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
59.24%	23.68%	17.08%

Both teams to score 44.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.59%

54.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22%

75.78%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88%

18.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.93%

49.07%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.66%

45.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.8%

81.2%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 59.23%

Sevilla 17.08%

Draw 23.68%

Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 5.4% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.14% 5-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.23%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.08%