La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2021 at 1pm UK

Martinez Valero

Elche
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Milla (86')
Guti (8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Junior (22', 73')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.18%) and 0-3 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Madrid
9.84%	17.45%	72.71%

Both teams to score 43.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.54%

44.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.17%

66.83%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.3%

50.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.86%

85.14%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.22%

10.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.19%

34.81%

Score Analysis

Elche 9.84%

Real Madrid 72.7%

Draw 17.45%

Elche	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 3.71% 2-1 @ 2.81% 2-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.84%	1-1 @ 8.27% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.58% Total : 17.45%	0-2 @ 13.56% 0-1 @ 12.18% 0-3 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.21% 1-3 @ 6.84% 0-4 @ 5.61% 1-4 @ 3.81% 0-5 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-5 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-6 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.7%