La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Kroos (14'), Benzema (38')
Kroos (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Falcao (76')
Balliu (45+1'), Comesana (68')

Reaction

Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti on October 24, 2021

Carlo Ancelotti delighted with performance against Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti hails his team's performance in Saturday's 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano in La Liga.

Nov 7, 18:13

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
71.59%	18.56%	9.85%

Both teams to score 40.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.82%

49.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75%

71.25%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.58%

12.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.67%

38.33%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.29%

53.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.9%

87.1%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 71.58%

Rayo Vallecano 9.85%

Draw 18.56%

Real Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 14.51% 1-0 @ 13.91% 3-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 5.26% 4-1 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.72% Total : 71.58%	1-1 @ 8.65% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.56%	0-1 @ 4.15% 1-2 @ 2.69% 0-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.73% Total : 9.85%