Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.