Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 44.58% | 27.87% | 27.54% |
| Both teams to score 45.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.21% | 59.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% | 80.08% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% | 26.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% | 61.99% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% | 37.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% | 74.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 8.56% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.55% |