Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 49.78% | 26.2% | 24.02% |
| Both teams to score 47.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% | 56.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% | 77.15% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% | 22.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.81% | 56.19% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% | 38.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% | 75.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.02% |