La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 27, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Barcelona

Falcao (30')
Trejo (24'), Saveljich (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coutinho (52'), Pique (66')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Barcelona
21.53%	22.66%	55.81%

Both teams to score 55.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68%

44.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3%

66.7%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41%

34.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69%

71.31%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28%

15.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.19%

44.81%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 21.53%

Barcelona 55.81%

Draw 22.66%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.77% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.53%	1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 5.44% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-3 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.66% 2-4 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.5% Total : 55.81%