Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 29, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
3 - 0
Barcelona

Nunez (3', 79' pen.), Silva (69')
Otamendi (33'), Silva (56'), Grimaldo (62'), Weigl (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pique (12'), Garcia (54'), Dest (78'), Gonzalez (86')
Garcia (87')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Barcelona
45.48%	26.95%	27.58%

Both teams to score 48.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5%

56.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.51%

77.49%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66%

59.34%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04%

35.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26%

72.73%

Score Analysis

Benfica 45.48%

Barcelona 27.58%

Draw 26.94%

Benfica	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.95% Total : 27.58%