Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Benfica |
| 18.3% | 23.44% | 58.27% |
| Both teams to score 47.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% | 51.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% | 73.54% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% | 42.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.31% | 78.7% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% | 17.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% | 48.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.37% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 12.9% 0-2 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-4 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.55% Total : 58.26% |