Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2021 at 8pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern

Gavi (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Muller (34'), Lewandowski (56', 85')
Kimmich (5'), Upamecano (78')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.52%) and 1-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Bayern Munich
44.69%	21.54%	33.77%

Both teams to score 70.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.8%

29.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.78%

50.22%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01%

13.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.5%

41.5%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5%

49.49%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 44.69%

Bayern Munich 33.77%

Draw 21.54%

Barcelona	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 5.52% 1-0 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-3 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.69%	1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 7.14% 3-3 @ 2.64% 0-0 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.54%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.71% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.69% Total : 33.77%