Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
0 - 5
Real Madrid

Antonio (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Krivtsov (37' og.), Junior (51', 56'), Rodrygo (65'), Benzema (90+1')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Real Madrid
22.11%	25.73%	52.16%

Both teams to score 46.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.01%

55.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92%

77.08%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.4%

40.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.81%

77.2%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48%

21.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42%

54.58%

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 22.11%

Real Madrid 52.15%

Draw 25.72%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.11%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 13.42% 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.15%