Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcos Antonio 47' yellowcard
  • goal Sergiy Krivtsov 37' (OG)
  • goal Vinicius Junior 51'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • goal Rodrygo 65'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+1'

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 5.45pm
Shakhtar 0 - 0 Inter Milan

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Sheriff Tiraspol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 22.11%
Draw 25.73%
Real Madrid 52.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.01%
Under 2.5 55.99%
Over 3.5 22.92%
Under 3.5 77.08%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 59.4%
Under 0.5 40.6%
Over 1.5 22.81%
Under 1.5 77.2%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 78.48%
Under 0.5 21.52%
Over 1.5 45.42%
Under 1.5 54.58%

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 22.11%
Draw 25.72%
Real Madrid 52.15%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 5.45%
2-0 @ 3.55%
3-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.26%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 22.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.72%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 13.42%
0-2 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-3 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 4.76%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.15%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 1, 2020 5.55pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Dentinho 57' goal
  • Manor Solomon 82' goal
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 14'
Champions League
Oct 21, 2020 5.55pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
  • Marco Asensio 34' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 54' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 59' goal
  • Eder Militao 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Viktor Korniienko 8'
  • goal Tete 29'
  • goal Raphael Varane 33' (OG)
  • goal Manor Solomon 42'
  • yellowcard Valerii Bondar 83'
Champions League
Nov 25, 2015 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Taras Stepanenko 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Teixeira 77' goal
  • Dentinho 83' goal
  • Alex Teixeira 88' goal
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 18'
  • yellowcard Daniel Carvajal 48'
  • goal Luka Modric 50'
  • goal Daniel Carvajal 52'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 70'
  • yellowcard Danilo 87'
Champions League
Sep 15, 2015 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 30' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 55' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 63' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Taras Stepanenko 32'
  • redcard Taras Stepanenko 50'
  • yellowcard Darijo Srna 54'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Kucher 75'
  • yellowcard Maksym Malyshev 80'

Build-up

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