Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff Tiraspol

Benzema (65' pen.)
Casemiro (39'), Ancelotti (64'), Jovic (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yakhshibaev (25'), Thill (90')
Arboleda (17'), Addo (45'), Dulanto (46'), Thill (90')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
61.72%	24%	14.28%

Both teams to score 38.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.33%

59.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.01%

79.99%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82%

19.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14%

50.86%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.6%

52.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.74%

86.26%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 61.71%

Sheriff Tiraspol 14.28%

Draw 24%

Real Madrid	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 16.59% 2-0 @ 13.7% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.71%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 2.86% Other @ 0.36% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 2.1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 14.28%