Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2021 at 8pm UK

Sheriff

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 3
Real Madrid

Costanza (29')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alaba (30'), Kroos (45+1'), Benzema (55')
Mendy (4')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Real Madrid
18.68%	20.78%	60.54%

Both teams to score 56.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17%

39.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.81%

62.19%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14%

34.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.41%

71.59%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25%

12.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.98%

39.02%

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 18.68%

Real Madrid 60.54%

Draw 20.78%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 5.09% 1-0 @ 4.69% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.81% Total : 18.68%	1-1 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 5.24% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 6.47% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 3.51% 0-4 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.63% Total : 60.54%