Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
| 35.2% | 26.68% | 38.11% |
| Both teams to score 51.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% | 53.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% | 74.71% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% | 27.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% | 62.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.11% |