Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.