Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 33.34% | 27.27% | 39.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% | 76.85% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% | 67.66% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% | 63.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.39% |