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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
2 - 1
Atletico

Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid

This match has a draw written all over it; Atletico will be desperate to avoid a third straight league defeat, and Simeone should have his side fired up for the contest. Sevilla have been so impressive for much of the season, though, and we cannot back Loptegui's side to lose in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
46.68%25.79%27.54%
Both teams to score 51.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91%52.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18%73.82%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7%22.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23%55.77%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37%33.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72%70.28%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 46.67%
    Atletico Madrid 27.54%
    Draw 25.79%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.17%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
48.1%
Draw
23.5%
Atletico Madrid
28.3%
187
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 29
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
Nov 2, 2019 5.30pm
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Koke (30')
Thomas (68'), Morata (72'), Koke (81'), Lemar (88'), Niguez (92')
Sarabia (70')
Mesa (58'), Vidal (75'), Rog (86'), Navas (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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