Sevilla

2 - 1

Atletico

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.