Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 64.79% | 22.37% | 12.83% |
| Both teams to score 39.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% | 56.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% | 77.65% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% | 16.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% | 47.08% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.13% | 52.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.43% | 86.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 15.91% 2-0 @ 14.11% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.7% 5-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.78% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.72% 1-2 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.06% Total : 12.83% |