La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 7, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
3 - 3
Atletico

Savic (50' og.), Duro (90+2', 90+6')
Guillamon (76'), Musah (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Suarez (35'), Griezmann (58'), Vrsaljko (62')
Carrasco (90'), Griezmann (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.9%	25.66%	50.44%

Both teams to score 48.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82%

54.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41%

75.59%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.14%

37.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37%

74.63%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49%

21.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43%

54.57%

Score Analysis

Valencia 23.9%

Atletico Madrid 50.43%

Draw 25.66%

Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.9%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 12.51% 0-2 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.43%