Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 48.8% | 23.42% | 27.78% |
| Both teams to score 59.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% | 41.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% | 17.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% | 28.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% | 63.68% |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 48.8%
Atletico Madrid 27.78%
Draw 23.42%
| Porto | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.96% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.78% |
How you voted: Porto vs Atletico
Porto
37.3%Draw
22.8%Atletico Madrid
39.9%311


