Porto
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Atletico Madrid logo

Porto
1 - 3
Atletico

Oliveira (90+6' pen.)
Taremi (32'), Otavio (67'), Pepe (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (56'), Correa (90'), De Paul (90+2')
Correa (67')
Carrasco (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawAtletico Madrid
48.8%23.42%27.78%
Both teams to score 59.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3%41.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9%64.1%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4%47.6%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97%28.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32%63.68%
Score Analysis
    Porto 48.8%
    Atletico Madrid 27.78%
    Draw 23.42%
PortoDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.78%

How you voted: Porto vs Atletico

Porto
37.3%
Draw
22.8%
Atletico Madrid
39.9%
311
rhs 2.0


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