Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 0
Atletico

Jota (13'), Mane (21')
Mane (15'), Jota (85'), Matip (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hermoso (8'), Suarez (37'), Koke (38'), Felix (52')
Felipe (36')

Reaction

Liverpool's Roberto Firmino is substituted after an injury on August 28, 2021

Liverpool forward Roberto Firmino suffers new hamstring injury

Liverpool forward Roberto Firmino potentially faces another period on the sidelines after suffering a fresh hamstring injury against Atletico Madrid.

Nov 3, 23:40

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Atletico Madrid
52.09%	26.44%	21.47%

Both teams to score 43.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.94%

59.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49%

79.51%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17%

22.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45%

56.55%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.98%

43.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.69%

79.31%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 52.08%

Atletico Madrid 21.47%

Draw 26.43%

Liverpool	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 14.5% 2-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 4.45% 4-0 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.08%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.07% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.03% Total : 21.47%