Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 3
Liverpool

Griezmann (20', 34')
Suarez (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Salah (8', 78' pen.), Keita (13')
Milner (59'), Alexander-Arnold (63')

Reaction

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their third goal on October 19, 2021

Mohamed Salah sets new Liverpool goalscoring record

Mohamed Salah becomes the first player in Liverpool's history to score in nine consecutive games, after netting a brace in their 3-2 win against Atletico Madrid.

Oct 19, 22:28

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Liverpool
41.86%	29.64%	28.5%

Both teams to score 41.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.95%

65.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.07%

83.92%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.02%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06%

39.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4%

76.59%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 41.86%

Liverpool 28.49%

Draw 29.63%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 14.48% 2-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 7.84% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 0.99% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.26% Total : 41.86%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 12.28% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.63%	0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.4% Total : 28.49%