Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.