Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
| 21.1% | 24.75% | 54.16% |
| Both teams to score 48.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% | 53.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% | 74.91% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% | 40.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% | 76.78% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% | 19.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% | 51.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.1% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 0-2 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.15% |