Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 40.68% | 28.53% | 30.79% |
| Both teams to score 45.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.16% | 60.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% | 80.87% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% | 29.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% | 65.32% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% | 35.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% | 72.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.79% |