Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 33.53% | 29.63% | 36.84% |
| Both teams to score 43.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.02% | 63.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.83% | 83.16% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% | 35.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% | 72.26% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% | 33.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% | 69.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.84% |