Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 27.62% | 28.3% | 44.08% |
| Both teams to score 44.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.8% | 61.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.86% | 81.14% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% | 75.25% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% | 63.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-3 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.75% Total : 44.08% |