Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
| 59.03% | 24.11% | 16.86% |
| Both teams to score 43.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% | 56.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% | 77.3% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% | 18.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% | 50.37% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.26% | 46.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.71% | 82.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 14.71% 2-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 5.18% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.97% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.84% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.55% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.25% Total : 16.86% |